Results tagged ‘ 20 HR Candidates ’
20-HR Candidates/1B Edition
We are going to get a bit stingy here and not go for 20-HR threats, but increase it to 25 for this position. The reason for this is that there is no reason to list every first basemen in baseball (not really, but way too many for the purpose of discussing the fantasy portion).
(1) Ryan Howard. I expect two 40-HR guys this year (with Pujols) and you know what you will get with Howard. HR/RBI are the given with a decent number of Runs.
(2) Albert Pujols. It can only be awesome if you get the man at first. Remember one thing, he played all year with a bum elbow. Now the elbow if fixed, what does that mean for him in the fantasy world? Yea…it is that scary.
(3) Carlos Delgado. If he starts slow again, and someone in your league is dumb enough to give up on him, let him spend some time on your bench until he catches fire. Or better, if you can trade a secondary closer for him, do it…you can always grab another closer off the waiver wire. When Carlos is on, no one can keep up with him.
(4) Miguel Cabrera. For most leagues, you needed 15 games at a position in order to receive eligibility at the position the next year. Cabrera misses out by 1 stinking game this year to be eligible at third, for me, that would make him the consensus number 6 pick.
(5) Adrian Gonzalez. If you can hit 36 dingers calling Petco home, than I am not afraid to go with you at any time.
(6) Prince Fielder. Tad low average, no speed, lots of home runs and RBIs.
(7) Jason Giambi. Worse average, fewer steals, and even fewer runs. But if you need a 30 homer guy late, not too many others will be there.
(8) Mike Jacobs. Not much to love here with Jacobs, just 30 homers.
(9) Carlos Pena. It freaks me out to look at his stats from last year and the only differences between he and Mike Jacobs are as follows: 9 more runs, 1 fewer home run, and 9 more rbis. That is it, and Pena was around a 6th round pick last year. Remember that when you are drafting this year. Out of any year he played 100 games, he batted over .250 once, so stay away from his overrated self.
(10) Lance Berkman. Above average in every stat, certainly makes him worthy of a second round pick.
(11) Kevin Youkilis. He should hit right around 30 this year with ++ AVG and good RBI and decent runs.
(12) Mark Teixeira. He got 121 RBIs on teams that will not be as solidly stacked as the Yankees this year. Can you really project more than 120 RBIs? No, not accurately, but if he stays as successful at the plate this year as in the previous, you can expect something like 120-130.
(13) Justin Morneau. He did not reach 25 this year, but still drove in a very high number of runs. I would expect something like 28 HR and 115 RBI.
(14) Joey Votto. I feel like he is this year’s Adrian Gonzalez. He is seemingly undervalued statistics because of a crowded first base situation. You may be able to get him as your backup first basemen/utility and you will be happy. I don’t think a 27/95 season is out of order for him.
(15) Chris Davis. A 1B/3B eligible young Texas Rangers stud. Yep, screams 30 HR, but if you get 25/85, you should be happy with him.
(16) Adam LaRoche. If I told you the last four seasons he hit 20/32/21/25 HR in each of them, what would you say? Yea, pretty surprising but the bad part is his peripherals are not exceeding what a 25 HR hitter should have. This is not a simple indictment against him, you have to have teammates who can drive you in and be driven in.
The rest:
Paul Konerko has had several 40 and 30 homer seasons so do not count him out. Do not give him an integral part of your team either. Beyond him, there are not too many potential 25 homer guys. Adam Dunn should be 1B eligible so you could add him to this mix. So add one more 40 homer guy to this category as well.
The rest:
20-HR Candidates/3B Edition
(1) Alex Rodriguez. Easy.
(2) David Wright. Ditto.
(3) Jorge Cantu. He’ll be playing 1B but in the lovely world of fantasy he is your 3B.
(4) Mark Reynolds. Don’t combine him and Adam Dunn or you will finish last in AVG.
(5) Troy Glaus. Proving he is not done yet.
(6) Evan Longoria. He is a second rounder this year, make sure you note this. 27 HR in 122 G last year…I am loving him for the upcoming year, you should too!
(7) Aramis Ramirez. You will notice he missed 13 games last year but that was Lou Piniella being extremely careful with his starters last year. Derosa took a lot of spot starts for him last year…you can probably chalk him up for 155 G this year.
(8) Edwin Encarnacion. He’s overrated if you think he should be your starting 3B. Nothing outside of the HR category.
(9) Adrian Beltre. You can get him late…WAY late and you should. Even if you have an ARod or David Wright, Beltre is worth the late round flier even though he has no extra eligibility. Last contract year for Beltre: .334-48-121-104-7. Remember 2004, because you are going to see a lesser version of that, and that is not bad!
(10) Kevin Kouzmanoff. He is what he is, a HR hitter. He is similar to Edwin Encarnacion, just not fantasy worthy. My apologies to Miss Kaybee, because I know she likes him, but just because you are not worth a fantasy pick does not mean that you aren’t a quality player!
(11) Ty Wigginton. He has lost his eligibility at 2B & 1B, but added the OF. He is looking for a regular starting gig, and if he gets it you can expect well over 20. Wait to see where he goes to see if you want him being your late round guy.
(12) Chipper Jones. Is he going to start every game? No, but over the last dozen or so years, he has always hit more than 20 HR. Hard to realize that since it always seems he is hurt, but here is another way to look at Chipper. You draft him, and know that he is going to give you the stats of a decent 3B, but he is going to do it in less than a full season of work. What to do? Make sure you draft an Adrian Beltre or Ty Wigginton late and you will have a colossal season from the 3B position!
(13) Garrett Atkins. Another quality candidate and can be had later than he should. The only danger for him is that Matt Holliday is no longer patrolling the lineup with him and that will hurt him. Willy Taveras is no longer in the lineup, though, so he will have more RBI opportunities. My guess is you should expect something similar to what you have received in the past.
(14) Alex Gordon. Yes, I am still a believer. Has he burned you yet? Yea, me too, but he did hit 16 last year in 134 G. He can still get it done, just make him your backup option if you cannot get the best backups.
(15) Mike Lowell. He does not get hurt a lot, so last year was an aberration. He had 17 when he was hurt, so expect a good 25 from a guy that no one expects anything from (the Red Sox seemed ready to give him away this offseason). Now that we know he will still be in that fantastic Red Sox lineup, it is going to be a good season for him.
The rest:
Melvin Mora. I am not sold on him for this coming season. He had a fantastic statistical season last year but he is so sporadic with his quality of play. If he is your backup, I hope it is because your other positions are stacked. Maybe you get a late flier with him and he does come through, good luck though!
Casey Blake. He is not worth a pick and will probably hit 18-21 HR.
20-HR Candidates/SS Edition
(1) Hanley Ramirez. Your only 30 HR candidate among the position. Attention, everyone, he is the #1 pick…Yes, pick HIM, not ARod, not Reyes’ steals…Hanley is your guy. There is not a single category he doesn’t get you. Sorry for the rant…draft him already!
(2) JJ Hardy. He’ll get you a good 25 HR along with okay stats in other categories (except no steals).
(3) Stephen Drew. He had his breaking out last year. Most fans do not realize that they threw him at the position at the age of 22 so when he starts figuring out pitchers at the age of 25 and the balls are flying out of the park, we should not be surprised. I believe he’ll be better next year, and Drew will make any owner happy.
(4) Jhonny Peralta. I am going to predict that Peralta does hit 20 this year, but if he hit 17 I would not be surprised. Look at him as a poor man’s JJ Hardy. I think you can get better value out of a Derek Jeter who has better overall stats but not the magical “20″ HRs.
Surprises?
Ben Zobrist seems to be the guy that people are harping on as a potential sleeper this year, I say to stay away from him. Projecting last year’s stats to 500+ ABs you would have a 30 HR SS, so why do I say to stay away? I am not convinced that he is going to be the guy with his past performance. Draft at your own risk!
20-HR Candidates/2B Edition
(1) Chase Utley. No doubter in my mind. As always, players can get hurt, but if he has a fluke injury and only plays 2/3 of the season you are getting 20 HR out of Chase.
(2) Dan Uggla. Don’t expect a .300 AVG, but expect him to be right at 30 HR. Great power for the position.
(3) Brandon Phillips. He missed 20 games last year and still topped 20 HR. Outside of Utley, Phillips is your best bet to give you a power/speed combination, only he’ll steal over 20 as well (Lots of 20s I have noticed).
(4) Alexei Ramirez. He had 21 HR in 136 games last year. Very impressive, and I think it is still safe to predict another season in the same zone. A-Ram has a legit chance at becoming a superstar in fantasy if he fights off a sophomore slump. Always keep in mind that he will have pitchers adjusting to him at the plate, but we’ll see if he does become a great fantasy player.
I don’t think there will be any other 20 dinger second basemen. Some things that cold prove me wrong:
Ian Kinsler actually stays healthy. He is averaging 120 games a year and still hitting close to 20 HR, so you can see why I would be telling you this! (Do not draft him in the first round people — if you go to mockdraftcentral.com you will see that they are doing this!)
Mark Derosa continues to hit like a maniac as he gets older. Both of his two previous homes (Texas and Chi-NL) are parks that have leaned towards favoring the hitters, now he is going to a more pitcher friendly park in Cleveland. Not to mention he is coming off his career year, and he is 34, all danger marks for a hitter. He seems to be going very deep into the drafts, so you still might look to him, especially with his eligibility at three positions (2B/3B/OF).
Rickie Weeks wakes up. He slept through parts of last season and still had 14 HR (129 G). Ray Durham is not there this year to take up at-bats, so he still has a shot.
Do not forget, this does not entail my thoughts as to the rankings of the position. Dustin Pedroia is not even on this list but he is a top three second basemen, so look at what this list is for what it is: if you need a HR threat late in your draft at a position you normally cannot get them, this is your list!
20-HR Candidates/Catchers Edition
I see three “guarantees” at 20 HR.
The big three:
(1) Brian McCann
(2) Geovany Soto
(3) Mike Napoli
The fringes (guys who could potentially hit 20, but may fall to 15):
(1) Ryan Doumit
(2) Kelly Shoppach
(3) Chris Ianetta
(4) Bengie Molina
Do you know of any I may be missing?
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